A drop in forex market volatility expectations suggests that currency moves may slow in the week ahead, limiting optimism on volatility-friendly Breakout and Momentum strategies. Yet a continued slide in the safe-haven US Dollar shows few signs of slowing amidst a major improvement in financial market risk sentiment. We are left in a somewhat difficult position in determining our strategy bias. On the one hand, recent price moves suggest that major currency pairs will continue their pronounced trends and large day-to-day swings. On the other, the drop in volatility expectations points to otherwise. We have little option but to leave our biases unchanged until further clarification.
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